Dashboard / Opening-candle FVG retest
s30-A Small gaps only, 5R
NAS100 · 1m chart · a variation of Opening-candle FVG retest (Nasdaq) · paper account since 2026-10-26
Casper's rules with the one change our loss study found: trade only when the day's first gap is small (at most 0.3 x the 1-minute ATR), and aim for 5R instead of 3R.
Backtest 2019-today: 649 trades, 31% wins, +191.0R, largest drop 31.9R, every year positive. 2019-23 +120.7R, 2024-26 +70.2R, 2026 so far +8.7R.
The rules it shares with every variation are on the strategy page.
| Setting | Strategy default | s30-A (this) | s30-B (main) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min engulfing candle (x 1m ATR) The engulfing candle's high-to-low range must be at least this many times the 1-minute ATR(14); smaller = the trade is skipped. Empty = any size. | off | off | 0.9 |
All 18 settings of s30-A
Direction = bothTarget (R) = 5Max gap size (x 1m ATR) = 0.3Min engulfing candle (x 1m ATR) = offATR length = 14Close by = 16:00Min stop (points) = 0tz = America/New_Yorktp r = 2use be = nobe trigger r = 1.5sl atr mult = 0stop steps = []trail start r = offtrail dist r = 1use tp = nopartial r = offpartial frac = 0.5Balance (R)
Calendar
Closed trades
| Side | Signal (UTC) | Exit (UTC) | Entry | Stop | Exit | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Buy | 2026-11-02 14:47 | 2026-11-02 14:50 | 28,602.60 | 28,565.80 | 28,565.80 | loss | −1.00R |
Last event: close at 2026-11-02 14:53 UTC · all events
| Year | Trades | Win % | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 85 | 36% | +23.3R |
| 2020 | 80 | 28% | +24.7R |
| 2021 | 77 | 32% | +20.4R |
| 2022 | 82 | 35% | +27.1R |
| 2023 | 92 | 29% | +25.3R |
| 2024 | 82 | 26% | +23.2R |
| 2025 | 73 | 33% | +38.3R |
| 2026 | 78 | 29% | +8.7R |
Dukascopy data until 2026-10-05, in R at zero cost (R = the amount risked on a trade). Your own spread, commission, account and risk go in the Money calculator tab. Settings were partly chosen by looking at this history, so the live account is the real test.
Turn the backtest's R into money for your own account: starting balance, risk per trade (fixed or compounding) and your broker's costs. Nothing else on the site uses money.
Balance after each trade
| Year | Trades | R before costs | R after costs | Profit | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 85 | +23.3R | +12.8R | +$1,280 | +12.8% |
| 2020 | 80 | +24.7R | +20.1R | +$2,015 | +17.9% |
| 2021 | 77 | +20.4R | +16.3R | +$1,633 | +12.3% |
| 2022 | 82 | +27.1R | +24.8R | +$2,483 | +16.6% |
| 2023 | 92 | +25.3R | +20.9R | +$2,086 | +12.0% |
| 2024 | 82 | +23.2R | +19.2R | +$1,920 | +9.8% |
| 2025 | 73 | +38.3R | +35.7R | +$3,572 | +16.7% |
| 2026 | 78 | +8.7R | +6.8R | +$683 | +2.7% |
Replays the backtest trades with raw costs: 1.00 spread. A trade's cost in R = cost ÷ its stop distance, so tight stops pay more R. Risk is set when a trade opens; trades can overlap, like the backtest. Year = the year the trade opened (UTC); return = profit ÷ the balance at the year's first trade. Not included: swap / overnight financing, taxes. Past results, not a forecast.
This variation's backtest trades on a prop firm account: pick a firm, an account size, a period and your risk per trade. Costs come from the Money calculator tab (now: raw costs: 1.00 spread).
FTMO · 2-Step Challenge: Target 10% then 5% · max loss 10% fixed · daily loss 5% · min 4 trading days · 80% split · first payout after 14 days · $96 fee · fee refunded with payout #1.
Not simulated: Fees are EUR (€89-€1,080) at ~1.08 USD. Funded Standard account: no orders 2 min around major news, no holding over weekends (Swing account exempt).
Rules checked against the firm's site on 2026-10-28; firms change them often.
Net cash over time (payouts − fees)
Every account (2)
| # | Bought | Ended | Result | Trades | Time to pass | Payouts | Received | Fees |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2026-07-16 | – | Still in evaluation | 27 | – | 0 | $0 | −$96 |
| 1 | 2019-01-09 | 2026-07-16 | Blown when funded | 622 | 16.5 months · 114 tr | 51 | +$6,193 | −$96 |
Replays this variation's backtest trades (raw costs: 1.00 spread) from 2019-01-09 to 2026-09-25, risking a fixed 0.5% of the account size per trade. A blown account is replaced at once; payouts are taken as soon as the rules allow. Floating losses use each trade's worst point on its own (open trades are not added together); the trading day runs 17:00 to 17:00 New York. Futures firms are simulated with the CFD backtest in R. Past results, not a forecast.