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One Setup and IFVG merge

XAUUSD · 5m chart · strategy s34_one_setup_ifvg · 2 variations

After a 15-minute low is swept and structure breaks, wait for the pullback to the middle of the range, then buy when a 5-minute fair value gap is closed through (sells mirrored).

What it is about

A swept 15-minute low shows where sellers were trapped, and the range back to the recent high marks where price sits. Below the middle of that range, price is cheap.

Instead of placing a limit order, the model waits for proof: the 5-minute gap left by the pullback has to be closed through. That entry needs no exact fill.

Everything is mirrored for sells.

How it trades

Chart & market
Gold. 5-minute candles for the entry, 15-minute swings for the sweep.
Sweep
Between 08:00 and 12:00 New York, price trades through an unswept 15-minute swing low made in the last 24 hours. The range runs from that low to the highest 15-minute high of those 24 hours.
Break
A 5-minute candle closes above the last small swing high.
Pullback
Price comes back to the 50% level of the range. A new high first clears the gaps and resets this step.
Entry
At the close of the 5-minute candle that closes above a bearish fair value gap made during the pullback.
Cancel
The setup ends 4 hours after the sweep low, or when price reaches the range high. A new low restarts the steps.
Exit
Stop 0.30 under the pullback low, at least 0.60 away. Target 3R. Flat at the last candle before 16:00 New York. One trade at a time.

08:00-12:00 New York, about 8-9 trades a month.

What to expect
  • About 4 trades in 10 win. Winners are about 3R, losers about -1R.
  • Backtest 2018-today (zero cost): 905 trades, +100.0R, largest drop 22R.
  • The trades barely overlap with Victor's sweep and IFVG accounts.
Risks and caveats
  • 2026 made +34.0R of the +37.2R in 2024-26; 2024 and 2025 together made only +3.2R.
  • The direction beat random direction in 86% and 94% of runs, which is good but not outstanding.
  • The settings were chosen with 2024-26 visible, so the live account is the real test.

Where it comes from

Victor's merge (2026-10-31) of the setup from the YouTube video "My One Setup" (creator not named) with his own IFVG entry. All 48 nearby settings made money in both periods.

Main variation: s34-B ★ Main

Live result
0.0R
0 closed · 0 open · zero cost
Backtest total
+110.2R
601 trades · +0.18R a trade · win 41%
Backtest max drawdown
−16.3R
total ÷ drawdown 6.8
Years won
8/9
5.7 trades / month
Backtest R per year (zero cost), s34-B
−10.0R0.0R10.0R20.0R30.0R201820192020202120222023202420252026

The variations

Each variation is the same strategy with a different approach, trading its own paper account. Click one to see exactly what it changes.

s34-BGold, New York morning, no strong 1-hour trends★ Main

The same model, skipping entries when the 1-hour trend is strong (the top third of 2018-23 entries). A pullback model struggles in a strong short-term trend.

s34-AGold, New York morning

15-minute sweep, 5-minute break, pullback to the 50% level of the range, entry on the inverted gap, 08:00-12:00 New York. Target 3R.

Variations side by side

Live result of all 2 together: 0.0R (zero cost).

Live paper account (R, zero cost)Backtest 2018 – today (R, zero cost)
s34-B★ MainOne Setup and IFVG mergeXAUUSD5m–0––+110.2R+0.18R8/95.741%−16.3R
s34-AOne Setup and IFVG mergeXAUUSD5m–0––+100.0R+0.11R7/98.639%−22.0R

Main = the variation with the most backtest R per R of max drawdown (2018 – today, zero cost). It is picked on that history, so the live accounts are the real test.