AE Forex structure / POI model

NAS100 · 1m chart · strategy s32_aeforex_poi · 1 variation

Trade with the 4-hour bias: wait for a 15-minute break of structure, its pullback and the zone it left behind, then enter on a 1-minute shift with a tight stop and a far target.

What it is about

Arthur (AE Forex) teaches a three-step smart-money model: a higher-timeframe bias, a setup on an intermediate timeframe and a precise entry on a low timeframe. Price breaks structure, pulls back to take liquidity (the inducement), then returns to an untouched zone (order block or breaker block) before continuing.

The edge comes from the entry: instead of buying the zone itself, it waits for a 1-minute change in state of delivery (a close back through the last opposite candle) and enters at that candle's open. The stop goes just beyond the low (high) made in the zone, so the risk is small and a normal continuation pays many times the risk.

This version trades NAS100 in both directions, only when the 4-hour bias, the Daily structure and the Weekly trend agree.

How it trades

Chart & market

NAS100: 4-hour candles for the bias, 15-minute candles for the setup, 1-minute candles for the entry. 4-hour candles start at 00:00 UTC (his chart).

Bias

On the 4-hour chart: a break of structure (a close beyond a swing), then a pullback that trades back past the deepest swing the move broke, then the closest untouched order block or breaker block beyond that pullback. The bias is on once price taps that zone and stays on until price trades through the zone (wrong) or reaches the move's extreme (done). Also required: the last Daily break of structure and the Weekly close vs its 20-week EMA point the same way.

Setup

On the 15-minute chart, in the bias direction: a break of structure, a pullback that trades back past the broken level by more than 0.15 x the 15-minute ATR (the inducement), and a second break of structure. The zone = the closest untouched order block or breaker block beyond the inducement. A setup lives 5 days; the newest setup is worked first and older ones resume when it ends.

Entry

After price taps the zone, wait for a 1-minute close above the open of the last down candle (buys; mirrored for sells). A buy limit goes at that open and fills when price touches it.

Stop

1 point beyond the lowest low since the tap (buys), at least 10 points from the entry.

Exit

Target 10R. Once a trade is 5R in profit, the stop trails 5R behind the best price. Up to 3 entries per zone; a winner ends the zone. One trade at a time across both directions.

Any time of day; the bias and setups decide. About 3-4 trades a month.

What to expect

About 1 trade in 4 wins. Winners average about 6R (half of them under 5R, the best 10R); every loser is -1R.
Backtest 2019-today (zero cost): 350 trades, +264.7R, +0.76R a trade, largest drop 22.5R, every year positive.
Losing streaks of up to 17 trades happened in the backtest.

Risks and caveats

The stop is tight (often 10-15 points on NAS100), so the spread is a real part of each trade: check your broker's costs in the calculator.
The rules were coded from Arthur's videos and checked against his own gold replay trades; he applies them with some discretion that code cannot copy.
The settings (filters, 10R, trail) were chosen after looking at the full history, including 2024-26, so the live account is the real test.

Where it comes from

AE Forex ("Arthur", YouTube @aeforex), 11 videos Victor shared on 2026-10-28. The code reproduces his gold replay trades (one of them to the cent). On NAS100 it passed our standard checks: it held up with triple costs, 1-3 minutes late entries, 11 nearby settings and Pepperstone's data, and it beat random entry times and random directions in 97-100% of runs. Gold versions are on the watchlist.

Main variation: s32-A ★ Main

Live result

0.0R

0 closed · 0 open · zero cost

Backtest total

+264.7R

350 trades · +0.76R a trade · win 25%

Backtest max drawdown

−22.5R

total ÷ drawdown 11.8

Years won

8/8

3.8 trades / month

Backtest R per year (zero cost), s32-A

The variations

Each variation is the same strategy with a different approach, trading its own paper account. Click one to see exactly what it changes.

s32-ANAS100 both directions, 10R + trail★ Main

Arthur's model with three additions from our research: the Daily structure and Weekly trend must agree with his 4-hour bias, the stop is at least 10 points, and the target is 10R with a trail of 5R once 5R is reached.

Variations side by side

Live result of all 1 together: 0.0R (zero cost).

			Live paper account (R, zero cost)				Backtest 2018 – today (R, zero cost)

s32-A★ MainAE Forex structure / POI model	NAS100	1m	–	0	–	–	+264.7R	+0.76R	8/8	3.8	25%	−22.5R

Main = the variation with the most backtest R per R of max drawdown (2018 – today, zero cost). It is picked on that history, so the live accounts are the real test.